{"id":5947,"date":"2025-05-09T17:32:26","date_gmt":"2025-05-09T17:32:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/2025\/05\/09\/hollywood-on-edge-as-trump-threatens-tariffs-on-foreign-films\/"},"modified":"2025-05-09T17:32:28","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T17:32:28","slug":"hollywood-on-edge-as-trump-threatens-tariffs-on-foreign-films","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/2025\/05\/09\/hollywood-on-edge-as-trump-threatens-tariffs-on-foreign-films\/","title":{"rendered":"Hollywood on Edge as Trump Threatens Tariffs on Foreign Films"},"content":{"rendered":"<div itemprop=\"articleBody\">\n<figure id=\"attachment_1553917\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1553917\" style=\"width: 970px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1553917\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The idea of a purely American-made movie is a myth. <span class=\"media-credit\">Neil Soni\/Unsplash<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"194\" data-end=\"466\">When President Donald Trump fired off a <a href=\"https:\/\/observer.com\/company\/truth-social\/\" title=\"Truth Social\" class=\"company-link\">Truth Social<\/a> post over the weekend announcing his desire to impose a 100 percent tariff on all foreign-made movies, some Hollywood executives and media members rolled their eyes while others panicked. Both reactions are appropriate. The timing couldn\u2019t be worse for an industry still desperately thrashing about for a life preserver following the Covid-19 pandemic, Wall Street\u2019s reversal on the streaming model, dual Hollywood labor strikes and the Los Angeles wildfires.<\/p>\n<section class=\"wp-block-observer-newsletters observer-newsletters--in-content\">\n<\/section>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"710\" data-end=\"928\">The theatrical film industry has been particularly pummeled. Box office revenues remain stubbornly below pre-Covid levels, with global figures dropping from a record $43.3 billion in 2019 to just $30 billion last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"930\" data-end=\"1246\">Domestically, despite hopes for a bounce-back, 2025 projections <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.the-numbers.com\/business-report\" data-lasso-id=\"2758132\">hover around $9 billion,<\/a> according to The Numbers\u2014a far cry from the reliable $11 billion floor the industry enjoyed throughout the 2010s. <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Major studios are collectively releasing <\/span><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/theankler.com\/p\/ip-hollywood-box-office-streaming-theaters\" data-lasso-id=\"2758133\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">10 to 15 fewer wide releases<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> per year than they did before the pandemic. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1248\" data-end=\"1358\">All considered, Trump\u2019s proposed tariffs are less a solution than a Hail Mary aimed at an impossible equation.<\/p>\n<h3><b>The myth of the all-American movie<\/b><\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1400\" data-end=\"1754\">The concept of a purely \u201cAmerican-made\u201d film is about as blurry as a college student\u2019s vision after a frat party. Film industry analyst Stephen Follows\u2019 research reveals the average blockbuster<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/stephenfollows.com\/p\/how-many-hollywood-movies-are-made\" data-lasso-id=\"2758134\"> is shot in 1.6 countries<\/a>, with nearly a quarter of Hollywood studio productions filming at least partially in the U.K. in 2019 and nearly 20 percent in Canada.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1756\" data-end=\"2041\">Modern filmmaking sprawls across borders by necessity\u2014visual effects from London, sound mixing from Toronto, financing from multiple international partners, and so on. Slapping tariffs on this intricate global ecosystem threatens to destabilize already precarious production economics.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u201cI\u2019m not a lawyer, but there does seem to be a gap between how tariffs are defined in the law and what could be applied to services,\u201d industry analyst Entertainment Strategy Guy, who recently published an analysis of the <\/span><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/entertainment.substack.com\/p\/a-trade-war-could-be-a-disasterfor?utm_campaign=email-post&amp;r=c85cx&amp;utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email\" data-lasso-id=\"2758135\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">trade war\u2019s potential impact on Hollywood<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, told Observer. \u201cMy rule of thumb when analyzing the current administration is: wait until something is done, not just said.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>International backlash brewing<\/b><\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2471\" data-end=\"2677\">The greater danger may lie abroad. Even before Trump\u2019s post, China had announced plans to <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-04-10\/china-to-reduce-import-of-hollywood-films-as-trump-hikes-tariffs?cmpid=screentime&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=250413&amp;utm_campaign=screentime\" data-lasso-id=\"2758136\">further restrict American films<\/a>\u2014moves that could inspire other countries to follow suit if tariff tensions escalate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2679\" data-end=\"3371\">For an industry that relies heavily on overseas audiences, that spells disaster. Before <em data-start=\"2767\" data-end=\"2781\">Thunderbolts<\/em>, the Marvel Cinematic Universe had <a href=\"https:\/\/observer.com\/2025\/04\/marvel-movie-tv-game-book-analysis\/\" data-lasso-id=\"2758137\">generated 56.2 percent of its gargantuan $31 billion<\/a> in global ticket sales from international markets, according to Box Office Mojo and The Numbers. Other franchises are even more overseas-dependent: <em data-start=\"3018\" data-end=\"3034\">Fast &amp; Furious<\/em> (74 percent), <em data-start=\"3042\" data-end=\"3059\">Wizarding World<\/em> (70 percent), <em data-start=\"3069\" data-end=\"3084\">Jurassic Park<\/em> (62 percent), <em data-start=\"3094\" data-end=\"3109\">Despicable Me<\/em> (62 percent), DC (61 percent) and <em data-start=\"3133\" data-end=\"3140\">Shrek<\/em> (60 percent) all rely on international ticket sales for the majority of their revenue. Any reduction, limitation, or slowdown in international theatrical distribution will have damaging ripple effects on an already limping film industry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3373\" data-end=\"3713\">Foreign governments have several retaliatory options: increased taxes on American content, tighter quotas or demands for significantly more local-language production in exchange for market access. Europe could impose new levies on U.S. movies and streaming services, while other countries might erect higher barriers for filming approvals.<\/p>\n<h3><b>Alternative approaches<\/b><\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3743\" data-end=\"3970\">Not everyone sees tariffs as the answer. Actor Jon Voight and his manager Steven Paul have reportedly <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2025-05-05\/trump-to-impose-tariffs-on-movies-here-s-how-it-will-impact-hollywood?cmpid=screentime&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=250505&amp;utm_campaign=screentime\" data-lasso-id=\"2758138\">pitched Trump on expanding federal incentives<\/a> for domestic production instead\u2014supplements to existing state-level tax breaks, according to Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3972\" data-end=\"4321\">Entertainment Strategy Guy suggests another approach. \u201cThe best way would be to limit subsidies provided by different states so production can benefit from economies of scale in only one to three locations,\u201d he said. \u201cThe problem with subsidies is they become a race to the bottom with increasingly higher subsidies provided by different countries.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">While U.S. physical production has declined in recent years, the Motion Picture Association told <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bloomberg<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> that America\u2019s entertainment sector <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2025-05-05\/trump-to-impose-tariffs-on-movies-here-s-how-it-will-impact-hollywood?cmpid=screentime&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_term=250505&amp;utm_campaign=screentime\" data-lasso-id=\"2758139\">maintains a positive trade balance globally<\/a>, exporting three times more content than it imports. American streaming services like Netflix and Amazon Prime rely on global audiences to justify their massive content investments.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4695\" data-end=\"5217\">As Hollywood executives anxiously track developments, the message is clear: in an increasingly interconnected industry where international success determines whether franchises live or die, new trade barriers could devastate studios still reeling from the arsenal of curveballs thrown their way over the last five years. For an administration concerned with American economic strength, triggering the collapse of one of the country\u2019s most valuable export industries would be an unexpected plot twist\u2014and not the good kind.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" itemprop=\"image\" src=\"https:\/\/observer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/neil-soni-H3doPzG82hs-unsplash-e1746809121525.jpg?quality=80&amp;w=970\" alt=\"Trump\u2019s Proposed 100% Tariff on Foreign Movies Pushes Hollywood to the Edge\" style=\"display:none;width:0;\"\/><\/p><\/div>\n<p><script>\n\t!function(f,b,e,v,n,t,s)\n\t{if(f.fbq)return;n=f.fbq=function(){n.callMethod?\n\t\tn.callMethod.apply(n,arguments):n.queue.push(arguments)};\n\t\tif(!f._fbq)f._fbq=n;n.push=n;n.loaded=!0;n.version='2.0';\n\t\tn.queue=[];t=b.createElement(e);t.async=!0;\n\t\tt.src=v;s=b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0];\n\t\ts.parentNode.insertBefore(t,s)}(window, document,'script',\n\t\t'https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/fbevents.js');\n\tfbq('init', '618909876214345');\n\tfbq('track', 'PageView');\n<\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The idea of a purely American-made movie is a myth. Neil Soni\/Unsplash When President Donald Trump fired off a Truth Social post over the weekend announcing his desire to impose a 100 percent tariff on all foreign-made movies, some Hollywood executives and media members rolled their eyes while others panicked. Both reactions are appropriate. The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5948,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-usa-news"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5947"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5947\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5949,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5947\/revisions\/5949"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5948"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nationalgunowner.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}